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Saturday, 28 November 2009

10 Golden Rules

Dan Zanger gives his 10 golden rules for trading and notes to be followed while running with the stock markets.

1. Make sure the stock has a well formed base or pattern such as one described on this web site and can be found on the tab "Understanding Chart Patterns" on the home page, before considering purchase. Dan highlights stocks with these patterns in his newsletter.

2. Buy the stock as it moves over the trend line of that base or pattern and make sure that volume is above recent trend shortly after this "breakout" occurs. Never pay up by more than 5% above the trend line. You should also get to know your stock's thirty day moving average volume, which you can find on most stock quote pages such as eSignal's quote page.

3. Be very quick to sell your stock should it return back under the trend line or breakout point. Usually stops should be set about $1 below the breakout point. The more expensive the stock, the more leeway you can give it, but never have more than a $2 stop loss. Some people employ a 5% stop loss rule. This may mean selling a stock that just tried to breakout and fails in 20 minutes or 3 hours from the time it just broke out above your purchase price.

4. Sell 20 to 30% of your position as the stock moves up 15 to 20% from its breakout point.

5. Hold your strongest stocks the longest and sell stocks that stop moving up or are acting sluggish quickly. Remember stocks are only good when they are moving up.

6. Identify and follow strong groups of stocks and try to keep your selections in the these groups

7. After the market has moved for a substantial period of time, your stocks will become vulnerable to a sell off, which can happen so fast and hard you won't believe it. Learn to set new higher trend lines and learn reversal patterns to help your exit of stocks. Some of you may benefit from reading a book on Candlesticks or reading Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns, by Bulkowski.

8. Remember it takes volume to move stocks, so start getting to know your stock's volume behavior and the how it reacts to spikes in volume. You can see these spikes on any chart. Volume is the key to your stock's movement and success or failure.

9. Many stocks are mentioned in the newsletter with buy points. However just because it's mentioned with a buy point does not mean it's an outright buy when a buy point is touched. One must first see the action in the stock and combine it with its volume for the day at the time that buy point is hit and take keen notice of the overall market environment before considering purchases.

10. Never go on margin until you have mastered the market, charts and your emotions. Margin can wipe you out.

Note: If you are new to trading or investing, I suggest reading these rules many times over until they become ingrained so you can act without emotions.

Stocks that breakout and move up with tremendous volume and close near the highs of the day seem to work out best. However many stocks that move up 15% or more on breakout day often fail. You'll just have to watch your stock's action like a hawk and get to see and understand these things over a long period of time. If trading were easy everyone would be making millions. It's not; it takes years and years of hard work and long hours.

Many traders employ a half hour rule, meaning that for the first half hour of the day many traders do not buy any stock that gaps up in price. If the price holds after the first half hour then often many traders will step in a buy the stock. I find this rule works good after the market has moved up for few strong weeks and is not very effective at the start of a new strong move.

If it's earnings season then it's an absolute must that you know the date that your company reports its earnings. Many traders prefer to be out 100% before a company reports its earnings in case the company misses its earnings or guides lower. Others I know reduce positions substantially before earnings are released to lower risk. The choice is up to you. You can see an earnings calendar on this web site by clicking on the icon Useful Stock Recourses. Please verify this information by calling the company or visiting the company's website which you should be able to find in any search engine.

*The market moves in waves that can last anywhere from weeks to months. Then a correction or setback starts, which can last anywhere from 5 to 8 weeks or even as long at 4 to 6 months. If you are starting a free trial and are a novice you may be lucky to join just as the market gets underway, in which case you will see the full power of charting. If however you start after the move has been going for sometime then things won't look as good as traders are paring down positions. Or even worse the market could be selling down hard and working off the prior up move in which case you will be completely discouraged. The power of charts is through waiting for the correction to end whereby the chart patterns will then be fully developed. After weeks of base or pattern building, stocks will begin to lift off and that's when the big rewards come in. The question is, are you willing to wait and be here for the start of the next big move? The biggest mistake a novice can make is to come back after a move has started.

*Please read a few times my interviews in Stocks and Commodities and Traders' Magazine at the top of the home page of this web site. There are many tips and how - to's that will greatly improve your ability to understand how this works.

More good comments can be found in the FAQ section of this web site in the member login area.

I give setups of stocks that are ready to potentially move. That's my job. Your job is to get to know the stock and its movement along with the general market each day. You are the only one that can do this in realtime during market hours. Then if a stock acts well (i.e. volume is very heavy and the stock is moving easily out of the base) then that is the one to buy. I do not buy most stocks that breakout as most do not meet my heavy volume/price action behavior during the day. Also, I buy only the most expensive stocks as the percent loss is least if the stock pattern fails. High priced stocks are the best quality stocks as a general rule in playing the market. Remember to buy as close to the trendline as possible and the volume should come in at least 10 to 20 minutes after you buy (or even earlier) and if not by then, you know no one wants the stock and might as well check out early

With due apologies and full credits to chartpattern dot com

182 comments:

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sharetipsinfo said...

Hi,

Stock market India is volatile and all those who speculate in market are loosing everyday. Please remember stock market is not for speculation purpose. If one feel investing in stock market is gamble then its better to think again.

One should always note that if they want to invest money they should do proper research be it fundamental research or technical research. Just think how come you can invest
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RAJESH.SALADI™ said...

While we are mourning the loss of our friend, others are rejoicing to meet him behind the veil.Our true friend rajnish saran

[P] [P] said...

Rajnish bhai's place will never get filled.........May his soul rest in peace:(

A . ANAND said...

Its really sad .you left us so early for your heavenly adobe . may ur soul rest in peace . may god give ur family the power to tolrate this

Balaji *VJ said...

No words to describe. Shocking, sad news.

May His Soul Rest in Peace; May God be with his family at such time.

We will miss you My dear buddy Rajnish

Rgds/Balaji

Suneel Sharma said...

Osho....I will miss You Always
Suneel Sharma

chuckles said...

Though we lost you to the heavenly angels; you will always be remembered.Your absence will be felt strongly.BE BLESSED ALWAYS..May your soul rest in peace. Process of missing you will become a part and parcel of our lives.. some friends come and some leave; but their foot prints remain even while they are gone. Miss you :(

RAJESH.SALADI™ said...

A small tribute to bhagwanji


http://rapidshare.com/files/323410085/Tribute_to_Rajnish_Sara.pps.html

SANJAY said...

rajnish bhai was a wonderfull person full of humour 100 % gentleman in this our of grief may god give strength to overcome this loss

Rish said...

No words to describe the pain his family must be going through now.I am short of words to describe Rajnish he used to be always jovial humorous,I am gonna miss him big time for his market commentary and stress buster bytes in between :(.

Krishna Pradeep said...

Bhai...u r d most friendly man in my list...and a smart and quick analyst too...
like...im not able to come out of the trance of the sad news dat u r no mre..
but still bhai..u will b in our hearts minds and thoughts...

Literally We miss u...

Krishna Pradeep said...

A true salute to my true friend

^DhEeRaJ^ said...

Rajnish was truly a GEM of person, he will always be remembered as a good CHARACTER person... May his SOUL rest in peace...

[P] [P] said...

A thousand times we will need you
A thousand times we will cry
If love alone could have saved you
you never would have died
A heart of gold stopped beating
two twinkling eyes closed to rest
God broke our hearts to prove he only took the best
never a day goes by that you’re not in my heart and my soul.

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• Nifty FNO expiry at 5260.40 was at the highest level since the December expiry. MOM markets moved up 8%. The unprecedented FII flows was one of the mains reasons for the same.
• Market wide rollover was at 83.98 % compared with 83.61% in March.Nifty Midcap saw only 50.05 % rollover compared with 97.83% rollover in March.
• The bond market is saying that it’s safer to lend to Warren Buffett than Barack Obama.Two-year notes sold by the billionaire’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. in February yield 3.5 basis points less than Treasuries of similar maturity, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Procter & Gamble Co., Johnson & Johnson and Lowe’s Cos. debt also traded at lower yields in recent weeks.
• The above situation can lead to a significant change in the financial assumptions.For a change we might take BERKSHIRE HATHWAY BONDS vis a vis 30 YEARS US GSEC as a benchmark for risk free returns in computing portfolio returns
• Issue now is not on probable impact of the RBI tightening but what RBI will do at its next policy meet on 20th April.
• Nifty futures high in last upmove was 5303 which was a freak morning trade. The actual volume weighted high was somewhere around 5285.Many in the markets believe that the next breakout level would be beyond this level.
• Keep a tab on FII buy figures.Yesterday the FII Segment was a net buyer at 653 crores.
• DII segment selling seems to have abated as of now. Net sell at 157 crores.
• Froth seems to be returning to the IPO market in smartly priced issues getting oversubscribed. Persistent system was an attractively priced issue but 93X was on a higher side. Lets hope Retail segment makes some money here :)
• Nifty has been on an unrelenting rally since it tried to cross over the 200dema at 4675 odd zone.
• Short Term Trend turns down on a closing below 5140. Watch the level.
• In the month of March till date (MTD) FII s have been net buyer to the tune of 12125 crore rupees. This kind of inflow has been unprecedented in recent times.
• Refer to the stock wise report at http://stockrumours.blogspot.com/ For Intra stock views.
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Trades Stock said...

every part of life has own rules...nice post.

sharetipsinfo said...

Hi,

Stock market India is volatile and all those who speculate in market are loosing everyday. Please remember stock market is not for speculation purpose. If one feel investing in stock market is gamble then its better to think again.

One should always note that if they want to invest money they should do proper research be it fundamental research or technical research. Just think how come you can invest
your money without any convincing reason for the same?

Indian stock market is one of the most happening and emerging market. Major Indian stock exchanges are BSE and NSE and both are of world class standards.

So grab good stocks and invest that’s the bottom line.

We hope to see you in major profits.

Regards
SHARETIPSINFO TEAM

thebuzzingstreet1@gmail.com said...

We will be discussing the various benefits of speed trading and its various coefficients using which one can make the most out of their investments in the Indian stock market including both Nifty and Sensex (NSE and BSE)


Dear Visitor,
Thanks for visiting this nice and useful blog. As many events are about to happen soon. So we just want to share few things with all visitors as it might be helpful for everyone.

NSE and BSE are trading in range and we are expecting breakout in the market after budget. One should buy quality stocks at every decline and should exit long positions at every rise.

Regards
BUZZINGSTREET

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Motilal -Sub-Broker said...

To start stock market trading one should have good market knowledge before doing investments. This article points will really help to them.

BUZZINGSTREET said...

Dear Visitor,
Thanks for visiting this nice and useful blog. As many events are about to happen soon. So we just want to share few things with all visitors as it might be helpful for everyone.

NSE and BSE are trading in range and we are expecting breakout in the market after budget. One should buy quality stocks at every decline and should exit long positions at every rise.

Regards
BUZZINGSTREET


Stock market investment if done with proper research and updated knowledge than it can give very lucrative results. There are four basic golden rules of stock market which are to be followed
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Sharetipsinfo said...

Hi,
Nice blog!! Once again Nifty is trading quite high. Results season is going on and we can expect some unexpected moves in market now. From higher levels we are expecting minor correction of 100-150 points in Nifty so investors should wait before entering and day traders should not miss these swings. Rest we are here to keep you updated with everything.

Regards
SHARETIPSINFO TEAM

Sharetipsinfo said...

Hi,
Nice blog!! Once again Nifty is trading quite high. Results season is going on and we can expect some unexpected moves in market now. From higher levels we are expecting minor correction of 100-150 points in Nifty so investors should wait before entering and day traders should not miss these swings. Rest we are here to keep you updated with everything.

Regards
SHARETIPSINFO TEAM

jane said...

It would be great to see more posts here in the future. I’m looking forward to it. Good luck.

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Disclaimer : Recommendations or suggestions given here are totally free. Care has been taken to give correct advice / information / recommendations / suggestions /tips. We take no guarantee that the mentioned analysis will work to your benefit. Since we are involved in the market, we take pleasure in giving the best for the benifit of all. We have interest in the market and may or may not have positions in some or all of the stocks that are mentioned. We do not have any clients as such. These views are purely personal. We do not take any responsibility in any profits or losses that any one incurs as a result of these views / suggestions / recommendations / advice / tip /etc. Please do your own due diligence before initiating any trades as a result of this information.

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